ORL 115-121 GSW, February 27, 2025

Did the better shots win?

Yes. GSW beat ORL 121-115, and GSW's shots were worth 109.5 points to ORL's 100.7.

ORL 115-121 GSW, February 27, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
ORL	89	101	86.7	14/18	14.1	115	100.7
GSW	79	91	81.7	30/34	27.9	121	109.5

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.