UTA 101-118 SAC, February 26, 2025

Did the better shots win?

No. SAC beat UTA 118-101, but UTA's shots were worth 103.1 points to SAC's 99.4.

UTA 101-118 SAC, February 26, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team
TeamFGAFG pointsFG expectedFTFT expectedPointsShots' worth
UTA849291.69/1711.5101103.1
SAC8710789.611/129.911899.4

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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