IND 111-91 TOR, February 26, 2025

Did the better shots win?

No. IND beat TOR 111-91, but TOR's shots were worth 109.5 points to IND's 102.9.

IND 111-91 TOR, February 26, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team
TeamFGAFG pointsFG expectedFTFT expectedPointsShots' worth
IND8110190.210/1612.7111102.9
TOR878097.811/1611.791109.5

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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