NOP 109-103 SAS, February 25, 2025

Did the better shots win?

Yes. NOP beat SAS 109-103, and NOP's shots were worth 130.7 points to SAS's 118.2.

NOP 109-103 SAS, February 25, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
NOP	94	89	111.4	20/25	19.2	109	130.7
SAS	93	89	103.9	14/18	14.3	103	118.2

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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