MEM 151-148 PHX, February 25, 2025

Did the better shots win?

Yes. MEM beat PHX 151-148, and MEM's shots were worth 128.4 points to PHX's 120.3.

MEM 151-148 PHX, February 25, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
MEM	99	124	104.1	27/30	24.2	151	128.4
PHX	99	127	99.5	21/26	20.8	148	120.3

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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