HOU 100-97 MIL, February 25, 2025

Did the better shots win?

Yes. HOU beat MIL 100-97, and HOU's shots were worth 109.5 points to MIL's 109.1.

HOU 100-97 MIL, February 25, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
HOU	91	86	96.1	14/18	13.4	100	109.5
MIL	85	80	92.3	17/23	16.8	97	109.1

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

All NBA games, 2024-25

Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.