ORL 82-122 CLE, February 25, 2025

Did the better shots win?

No. CLE beat ORL 122-82, but ORL's shots were worth 106.5 points to CLE's 101.4.

ORL 82-122 CLE, February 25, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
ORL	90	71	96.3	11/14	10.1	82	106.5
CLE	80	109	88.8	13/16	12.6	122	101.4

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.