OKC 128-131 MIN, February 24, 2025

Did the better shots win?

No. MIN beat OKC 131-128, but OKC's shots were worth 143.1 points to MIN's 130.5.

OKC 128-131 MIN, February 24, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
OKC	106	105	118.6	23/29	24.4	128	143.1
MIN	97	97	99.5	34/39	31.0	131	130.5

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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