ATL 98-86 MIA, February 24, 2025

Did the better shots win?

Yes. ATL beat MIA 98-86, and ATL's shots were worth 113.6 points to MIA's 112.8.

ATL 98-86 MIA, February 24, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
ATL	88	89	104.4	9/12	9.2	98	113.6
MIA	84	61	92.0	25/27	20.9	86	112.8

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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