CLE 129-123 MEM, February 23, 2025

Did the better shots win?

Yes. CLE beat MEM 129-123, and CLE's shots were worth 138.8 points to MEM's 124.7.

CLE 129-123 MEM, February 23, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
CLE	99	105	111.0	24/35	27.8	129	138.8
MEM	92	99	99.8	24/31	24.8	123	124.7

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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