TOR 127-109 PHX, February 23, 2025

Did the better shots win?

Yes. TOR beat PHX 127-109, and TOR's shots were worth 124.1 points to PHX's 114.4.

TOR 127-109 PHX, February 23, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
TOR	88	106	101.9	21/30	22.2	127	124.1
PHX	85	93	96.6	16/22	17.8	109	114.4

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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