ATL 143-148 DET, February 23, 2025

Did the better shots win?

No. DET beat ATL 148-143, but ATL's shots were worth 136.3 points to DET's 126.7.

ATL 143-148 DET, February 23, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team
TeamFGAFG pointsFG expectedFTFT expectedPointsShots' worth
ATL96117108.326/3628.0143136.3
DET93130107.618/2519.1148126.7

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.