No. DET beat ATL 148-143, but ATL's shots were worth 136.3 points to DET's 126.7.
| Team | FGA | FG points | FG expected | FT | FT expected | Points | Shots' worth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ATL | 96 | 117 | 108.3 | 26/36 | 28.0 | 143 | 136.3 |
| DET | 93 | 130 | 107.6 | 18/25 | 19.1 | 148 | 126.7 |
Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.
Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.