IND 129-111 LAC, February 23, 2025

Did the better shots win?

No. IND beat LAC 129-111, but LAC's shots were worth 117.7 points to IND's 112.9.

IND 129-111 LAC, February 23, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
IND	84	104	91.3	25/27	21.6	129	112.9
LAC	85	86	91.1	25/33	26.5	111	117.7

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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