DEN 100-123 LAL, February 22, 2025

Did the better shots win?

Yes. LAL beat DEN 123-100, and LAL's shots were worth 116.3 points to DEN's 110.7.

DEN 100-123 LAL, February 22, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team
TeamFGAFG pointsFG expectedFTFT expectedPointsShots' worth
DEN858494.116/2116.6100110.7
LAL8610296.521/2519.8123116.3

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.