DAL 111-103 NOP, February 21, 2025

Did the better shots win?

No. DAL beat NOP 111-103, but NOP's shots were worth 119.4 points to DAL's 114.6.

DAL 111-103 NOP, February 21, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
DAL	86	90	93.0	21/27	21.6	111	114.6
NOP	92	84	101.0	19/25	18.4	103	119.4

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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