TOR 111-120 MIA, February 21, 2025

Did the better shots win?

Yes. MIA beat TOR 120-111, and MIA's shots were worth 114.5 points to TOR's 113.8.

TOR 111-120 MIA, February 21, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
TOR	91	93	96.1	18/23	17.7	111	113.8
MIA	90	105	100.3	15/18	14.2	120	114.5

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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