POR 102-110 LAL, February 20, 2025

Did the better shots win?

No. LAL beat POR 110-102, but POR's shots were worth 118.3 points to LAL's 113.8.

POR 102-110 LAL, February 20, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
POR	86	88	101.4	14/21	16.9	102	118.3
LAL	82	87	93.4	23/25	20.4	110	113.8

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

All NBA games, 2024-25

Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.