NYK 113-111 CHI, February 20, 2025

Did the better shots win?

Neither side had the better shots. NYK beat CHI 113-111, and the shots on each side were worth 124.5.

NYK 113-111 CHI, February 20, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team
TeamFGAFG pointsFG expectedFTFT expectedPointsShots' worth
NYK107106116.47/108.1113124.5
CHI103101114.910/129.6111124.5

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.