PHI 104-124 BOS, February 20, 2025

Did the better shots win?

No. BOS beat PHI 124-104, but PHI's shots were worth 118.4 points to BOS's 113.1.

PHI 104-124 BOS, February 20, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
PHI	93	88	104.3	16/17	14.0	104	118.4
BOS	89	110	101.1	14/15	12.0	124	113.1

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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