NOP 140-133 SAC, February 13, 2025

Did the better shots win?

No. NOP beat SAC 140-133, but SAC's shots were worth 138.6 points to NOP's 132.1.

NOP 140-133 SAC, February 13, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
NOP	92	113	104.5	27/34	27.6	140	132.1
SAC	112	115	121.2	18/21	17.4	133	138.6

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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