HOU 98-105 GSW, February 13, 2025

Did the better shots win?

Yes. GSW beat HOU 105-98, and GSW's shots were worth 114.2 points to HOU's 110.2.

HOU 98-105 GSW, February 13, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
HOU	93	88	96.4	10/18	13.8	98	110.2
GSW	89	81	92.2	24/27	22.0	105	114.2

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

All NBA games, 2024-25

Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.