LAC 128-114 MEM, February 12, 2025

Did the better shots win?

Yes. LAC beat MEM 128-114, and LAC's shots were worth 111.7 points to MEM's 97.3.

LAC 128-114 MEM, February 12, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team
TeamFGAFG pointsFG expectedFTFT expectedPointsShots' worth
LAC9310793.621/2218.1128111.7
MEM8910685.68/1511.711497.3

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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