DAL 111-107 GSW, February 12, 2025

Did the better shots win?

No. DAL beat GSW 111-107, but GSW's shots were worth 129.0 points to DAL's 106.8.

DAL 111-107 GSW, February 12, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
DAL	87	99	94.3	12/15	12.5	111	106.8
GSW	96	92	114.5	15/18	14.4	107	129.0

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.