NOP 111-119 SAC, February 12, 2025

Did the better shots win?

No. SAC beat NOP 119-111, but NOP's shots were worth 120.7 points to SAC's 117.3.

NOP 111-119 SAC, February 12, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
NOP	94	96	107.0	15/18	13.7	111	120.7
SAC	87	98	94.0	21/29	23.3	119	117.3

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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