MIN 101-103 MIL, February 12, 2025

Did the better shots win?

No. MIL beat MIN 103-101, but MIN's shots were worth 129.1 points to MIL's 102.7.

MIN 101-103 MIL, February 12, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
MIN	103	88	117.3	13/15	11.9	101	129.1
MIL	88	90	90.9	13/16	11.8	103	102.7

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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