TOR 108-131 CLE, February 12, 2025

Did the better shots win?

Yes. CLE beat TOR 131-108, and CLE's shots were worth 134.2 points to TOR's 118.4.

TOR 108-131 CLE, February 12, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
TOR	91	94	103.0	14/21	15.3	108	118.4
CLE	99	114	118.5	17/20	15.7	131	134.2

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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