NYK 149-148 ATL, February 12, 2025

Did the better shots win?

No. NYK beat ATL 149-148, but ATL's shots were worth 155.9 points to NYK's 133.1.

NYK 149-148 ATL, February 12, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
NYK	94	119	103.4	30/37	29.7	149	133.1
ATL	110	124	128.2	24/35	27.7	148	155.9

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

All NBA games, 2024-25

Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.