BKN 100-96 PHI, February 12, 2025

Did the better shots win?

No. BKN beat PHI 100-96, but PHI's shots were worth 107.5 points to BKN's 105.3.

BKN 100-96 PHI, February 12, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team
TeamFGAFG pointsFG expectedFTFT expectedPointsShots' worth
BKN858894.012/1511.3100105.3
PHI817890.518/2216.996107.5

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

All NBA games, 2024-25

Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.