WAS 130-134 IND, February 12, 2025

Did the better shots win?

Yes. IND beat WAS 134-130, and IND's shots were worth 128.1 points to WAS's 110.2.

WAS 130-134 IND, February 12, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
WAS	97	117	97.2	13/16	13.0	130	110.2
IND	107	116	112.5	18/20	15.6	134	128.1

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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