ORL 102-86 CHA, February 12, 2025

Did the better shots win?

Yes. ORL beat CHA 102-86, and ORL's shots were worth 101.2 points to CHA's 87.6.

ORL 102-86 CHA, February 12, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team
TeamFGAFG pointsFG expectedFTFT expectedPointsShots' worth
ORL908886.514/1914.7102101.2
CHA817275.914/1511.78687.6

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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