BOS 116-103 SAS, February 12, 2025

Did the better shots win?

Yes. BOS beat SAS 116-103, and BOS's shots were worth 112.5 points to SAS's 110.2.

BOS 116-103 SAS, February 12, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team
TeamFGAFG pointsFG expectedFTFT expectedPointsShots' worth
BOS9110295.514/2117.0116112.5
SAS9693100.710/129.5103110.2

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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