PHX 112-119 MEM, February 11, 2025

Did the better shots win?

Yes. MEM beat PHX 119-112, and MEM's shots were worth 128.8 points to PHX's 115.2.

PHX 112-119 MEM, February 11, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
PHX	92	94	96.9	18/22	18.2	112	115.2
MEM	100	98	106.6	21/27	22.2	119	128.8

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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