CHI 92-132 DET, February 11, 2025

Did the better shots win?

No. DET beat CHI 132-92, but CHI's shots were worth 127.4 points to DET's 125.6.

CHI 92-132 DET, February 11, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
CHI	100	80	112.4	12/19	15.0	92	127.4
DET	96	120	115.6	12/13	10.1	132	125.6

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.