IND 115-128 NYK, February 11, 2025

Did the better shots win?

No. NYK beat IND 128-115, but IND's shots were worth 116.5 points to NYK's 114.8.

IND 115-128 NYK, February 11, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
IND	89	95	95.9	20/26	20.6	115	116.5
NYK	91	108	96.9	20/23	17.9	128	114.8

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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