DEN 146-117 POR, February 10, 2025

Did the better shots win?

Yes. DEN beat POR 146-117, and DEN's shots were worth 121.5 points to POR's 118.7.

DEN 146-117 POR, February 10, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
DEN	91	128	106.0	18/20	15.6	146	121.5
POR	88	95	99.0	22/26	19.7	117	118.7

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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