DAL 128-129 SAC, February 10, 2025

Did the better shots win?

No. SAC beat DAL 129-128, but DAL's shots were worth 120.6 points to SAC's 119.9.

DAL 128-129 SAC, February 10, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
DAL	95	113	101.2	15/24	19.4	128	120.6
SAC	96	115	104.2	14/19	15.7	129	119.9

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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