WAS 121-131 SAS, February 10, 2025

Did the better shots win?

Yes. SAS beat WAS 131-121, and SAS's shots were worth 121.0 points to WAS's 114.7.

WAS 121-131 SAS, February 10, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team
TeamFGAFG pointsFG expectedFTFT expectedPointsShots' worth
WAS9310499.417/1915.3121114.7
SAS8810797.224/2923.8131121.0

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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