ORL 106-112 ATL, February 10, 2025

Did the better shots win?

Yes. ATL beat ORL 112-106, and ATL's shots were worth 94.8 points to ORL's 92.4.

ORL 106-112 ATL, February 10, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team
TeamFGAFG pointsFG expectedFTFT expectedPointsShots' worth
ORL788673.520/2418.910692.4
ATL778872.924/2821.911294.8

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.