MIL 135-127 PHI, February 9, 2025

Did the better shots win?

Yes. MIL beat PHI 135-127, and MIL's shots were worth 128.4 points to PHI's 114.3.

MIL 135-127 PHI, February 9, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
MIL	105	116	111.9	19/20	16.5	135	128.4
PHI	89	112	98.5	15/19	15.8	127	114.3

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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