HOU 94-87 TOR, February 9, 2025

Did the better shots win?

Yes. HOU beat TOR 94-87, and HOU's shots were worth 109.8 points to TOR's 104.6.

HOU 94-87 TOR, February 9, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team
TeamFGAFG pointsFG expectedFTFT expectedPointsShots' worth
HOU867287.922/2821.994109.8
TOR907491.313/1713.387104.6

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.