SAC 123-118 NOP, February 8, 2025

Did the better shots win?

Yes. SAC beat NOP 123-118, and SAC's shots were worth 130.2 points to NOP's 115.2.

SAC 123-118 NOP, February 8, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
SAC	91	97	103.5	26/33	26.7	123	130.2
NOP	90	100	96.8	18/25	18.4	118	115.2

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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