PHX 105-122 DEN, February 8, 2025

Did the better shots win?

No. DEN beat PHX 122-105, but PHX's shots were worth 114.1 points to DEN's 109.8.

PHX 105-122 DEN, February 8, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
PHX	98	93	101.8	12/15	12.3	105	114.1
DEN	92	106	96.3	16/17	13.5	122	109.8

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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