MIN 114-98 POR, February 8, 2025

Did the better shots win?

No. MIN beat POR 114-98, but POR's shots were worth 110.9 points to MIN's 108.2.

MIN 114-98 POR, February 8, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
MIN	82	96	87.1	18/28	21.1	114	108.2
POR	92	81	94.5	17/22	16.4	98	110.9

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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