MEM 112-125 OKC, February 8, 2025

Did the better shots win?

Yes. OKC beat MEM 125-112, and OKC's shots were worth 131.6 points to MEM's 113.0.

MEM 112-125 OKC, February 8, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
MEM	81	84	83.0	28/39	29.9	112	113.0
OKC	105	108	113.6	17/21	18.0	125	131.6

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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