WAS 111-125 ATL, February 8, 2025

Did the better shots win?

Yes. ATL beat WAS 125-111, and ATL's shots were worth 118.1 points to WAS's 113.8.

WAS 111-125 ATL, February 8, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team
TeamFGAFG pointsFG expectedFTFT expectedPointsShots' worth
WAS939196.820/2117.0111113.8
ATL97112105.413/1712.7125118.1

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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