ORL 112-111 SAS, February 8, 2025

Did the better shots win?

Yes. ORL beat SAS 112-111, and ORL's shots were worth 108.4 points to SAS's 95.3.

ORL 112-111 SAS, February 8, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
ORL	88	100	92.8	12/20	15.6	112	108.4
SAS	77	95	79.6	16/20	15.8	111	95.3

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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