DAL 116-105 HOU, February 8, 2025

Did the better shots win?

No. DAL beat HOU 116-105, but HOU's shots were worth 124.9 points to DAL's 117.2.

DAL 116-105 HOU, February 8, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
DAL	83	90	89.9	26/34	27.3	116	117.2
HOU	100	88	108.5	17/22	16.4	105	124.9

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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