PHX 135-127 UTA, February 7, 2025

Did the better shots win?

No. PHX beat UTA 135-127, but UTA's shots were worth 139.9 points to PHX's 122.4.

PHX 135-127 UTA, February 7, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
PHX	104	116	105.4	19/21	17.0	135	122.4
UTA	117	109	123.8	18/20	16.1	127	139.9

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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