OKC 121-109 TOR, February 7, 2025

Did the better shots win?

Yes. OKC beat TOR 121-109, and OKC's shots were worth 120.0 points to TOR's 117.2.

OKC 121-109 TOR, February 7, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
OKC	84	95	94.3	26/31	25.6	121	120.0
TOR	91	97	102.1	12/19	15.1	109	117.2

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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