ATL 115-110 MIL, February 7, 2025

Did the better shots win?

Yes. ATL beat MIL 115-110, and ATL's shots were worth 126.1 points to MIL's 110.3.

ATL 115-110 MIL, February 7, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
ATL	92	103	112.7	12/18	13.4	115	126.1
MIL	96	101	102.1	9/10	8.3	110	110.3

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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